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Eckstein Predicts A Large Negro Job Gap in '80's, Recommends Massive New Investment in Education

* of non-white professional and technical workers is up from 3.8 percent to 5.9 percent,

* of clerical workers from 4.3 to 5.7 percent,

* of sales people from 2.1 to 3.1 percent,

* of craftsmen from 4.5 to 5.6 percent.

Suppose that the rate of progress that Negro workers experienced from 1958 to 1965 continues for another generation, to 1985. The Department of Labor has made projections to 1975 and I have extrapolated these figures forward another decade (see Table 2).

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TABLE 2 Nonwhite Employment Situation in 1985: Projections and Goals (numbers in thousands)   Continued Present Progress*  Full Economic Equality Nonwhite Employed Persons  Nonwhite as percent of total  Nonwhite Employed Persons  Nonwhite as percent of total OCCUPATION GROUP  Number  Percent  Number  Percent All employed persons  12,590  100.0  12.0  12,630  100.0  12.0 White-collar workers  4,190  33.3  7.8  6,420  50.9  12.0 Professional & technical workers  1,850  14.7  10.6  2,100  16.7  12.0 Manager, officials & proprietors  420  3.3  3.8  1,330  10.5  12.0 Clerical  1,510  12.0  8.4  2,160  17.1  12.0 Sales  410  3.3  6.0  830  6.5  12.0 Blue-collar workers  4,340  34.5  13.0  4,000  31.7  12.0 Craftsmen & foremen  1,200  9.5  8.8  1,630  12.9  12.0 Operatives  2,290  18.2  14.1  1,940  15.4  12.0 Laborers, excluding farm & mine  850  6.8  24.0  430  3.4  12.0 Service workers  3,710  29.5  23.7  1,880  14.9  12.0 Private household  980  7.8  38.4  310  2.4  12.0 Other  2,730  21.7  20.8  1,570  12.5  12.0 Farm workers  350  2.8  12.8  330  2.6  12.0 Farmers & farm managers  40  .3  .7  160  1.3  12.0 Laborers & foremen  310  2.4  24.6  170  1.3  12.0

*Assumes that the nonwhite proportion of employment in each group will increase or decrease at the same rate as in Labor Department Projection 1965-75 (see Joe L. Russell, "Changing Patterns in Employment of Nonwhite Workers," Monthly Labor Review, May, 1966).

By 1958, when total Negro employment will be up to 12 percent of the total because of greater nonwhite population growth, Negroes will have

* 1.06 percent of all professional and technical jobs,

* 8.4 percent of all clerical jobs,

* 6.0 percent of all sales jobs, and

* 8.8 percent of all skilled craftsmen jobs.

But Negroes will still be

* 23.7 percent of all laborers,

* 38.4 percent of all private household workers, and

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