"One thing is certain," he continued. "The treaty cements the Sino-Russian relationship. The one thing they have in common is fear of a strong, pro-United States Japan."

Schwartz made it clear, however, that despite this unfortunate consequence the United States had no choice but to sign the treaty.

Americans tend to overemphasize the importance of India in Asia, according to Reischauer. "She certainly wields little influence on Western Asia--the Mohammaden world--none at all on the Far East, and only some over Burma, Ceylon and Indonesia. The latter two countries signed the treaty despite her,"he pointed out. "The only danger of her attitude on the peace conference was that she might sway the Asian nations, which, it turned out, she didn't"

India Will Follow

Reischauer predicted that India would probably sign a similar treaty with Japan herself at a later date.

With regard to European problems, both Friedrich and Elliott strongly favor the recent proposals under which the West German Republic would contribute armed contingents to the North Atlantic Treaty group in return for greater national independence.

Elliott pointed out that several things must be assured the Germans before they are willing to help defend Western Europe. First, she will have to be given greater equality in the N.A.T.O. community. "Among other things," he said, "we must take away the burden of reparations which hangs over her."

Secondly, he continued, "we will have to strengthen Europe sufficiently so that Germany feels she will actually have a chance to hold the line against Russia in the event of an attack. This does not necessarily mean a bigger U.S. Army in Germany," he said, "but enough tactical air power to provide an adequate cover for armies."

While the Western Allies offer Germany a large degree of sovereignty in return for military participation in N.A.T.O. the Russians continue trying to prevent this arrangement by offering as other tempting parcel--unity with East Germany.

"We must counter Russian offers for German unification," Elliott says, "by reminding them that we have offered them (the Germans) a free, united Germany all along. We will accept Russian offers for unification any time they are willing to have free elections in East Germany, policed by an international force."

French Are Keen

Friedrich, recently back from a long trip to Europe, corroborated reports that the French are keen on having the Germans in N.A.T.O. but still strongly against having German troops serve in a German national army.

The Germans themselves, however, continue to feel increasingly unenthusiastic about serving in a European army. A poll last June of men between the age of 18 and 40 indicated that 60% did not want to serve in such as army; a more recent survey showed that 70% did not want to serve.

"This poll makes the situation seem more serious that it actually is," Friedrich continued. "The army in question probably will be composed of volunteer troops, and if 30% are unopposed to serving, that number alone represents more men than we would need."

According to Friedrich the whole European situation seems far more stabilized that it did a year ago.