Texas, with a 14th-ranked RPI and wins over Tennessee and Oklahoma, should still have qualifications to be a third seed.
The outlook is fuzzier for the fourth seeds.
North Carolina, ranked 15th in the RPI, is the safest bet for a No. 4 seed.
The Big 12 has seven contenders for hosting, but two of them—Texas Tech and Colorado—are in trouble. Texas Tech’s 11 losses should be too much for the committee to overlook, and Colorado has the lowest RPI (18th) of any of the Big 12 teams.
A No. 3 seed is unlikely for the Florida International Golden Panthers, but a No. 4 seed is still an outside possibility given that no one else in the field really has an outstanding case for hosting.
Lousiana Tech is ranked in the top 10 of both the AP and Coaches poll, but ranks just 20th in the RPI and has no wins over any team in the top 40 of the RPI. Old Dominion is in a similar predicament, ranked 17th in the RPI, but only one win over a top 50 team in the RPI—No. 26 Penn State. Both teams would have to win their conference tournaments to have a legitimate chance.
Minnesota, the Big Ten regular season runner-up, may still be in contention to host despite a poor conference tournament performance. The Gophers do boast a quality win over Purdue which is better than most of the teams on the bubble for hosting.
If the key criteria in picking the fourth seeds are RPI and record against RPI top 50, then North Carolina, Florida International, Minnesota, and Colorado State have the best case for hosting.
So in summary, the possible destinations for Harvard are far and farther away, and where they go is anyone’s guess.