But the truth is that oil profits have not been high. If a company's returns rose 100 per cent, that would not say whether the company was making exorbitant profits or not. If a company made 1 or 2 per cent profit and its profit rose 100 or 200 per cent, the company would still be doing poorly. But this is precisely how oil profits have been reported, as the increase in profits.
The actual figures show that oil companies have not made high profits. Although profits rose 55 per cent in 1973, the return on invested capital for the oil industry was 11.2 per cent, the same as 10 years ago. The FTC reports that oil profits in 1973 were 15.6 per cent compared to 14.8 per cent for all other manufacturing. More than a third of the nation's industries had higher returns. Actually, oil profits had been lower than the average for other manufacturing industries in eight out of the last ten years.
And these profit figures are heavily influenced by returns on older, already discovered oil wells. Returns on new investments have been lower. In 1972, the Department of Interior estimated that the discounted cash flow rate of return on oil exploration and development expenditures was 3.2 to 6.6 per cent. This means that secure investments like bonds or long term savings certificates have been more profitable than petroleum exploration and development investments.
FURTHERMORE, in the past year, 85 per cent of the increase in oil profits has come from oil produced and sold outside the U.S. Twenty-five per cent of the total gain was due to the devaluation of the dollar. Because of these overseas profits, in the past five years oil companies have invested two dollars looking for oil in the U.S. for every dollar of domestic profit.
Also, much of these profits has gone to the federal government for drilling rights. In 1972, the oil industry made $6.5 billion in profits. Yet in the following year, the industry paid $6.9 billion to the government for offshore drilling rights.
So the recent rise in oil profits was really a return to normal levels. But even if oil profits continue to rise, the market will correct itself. Even the profit rise to normal levels has caused great increases in investment, as we have already seen. Any further increase will cause even more, so the resulting extra production will eventually bring profits back to normal levels. In the meantime, the shortage will have been ended and nobody makes any money they haven't earned.
Anyone who thinks there isn't enough oil to be found to increase production ought to research the estimates of oil available from Alaska, off-shore fields, tar sands, shale, coal, and old oil wells. The oil can be found if there is an incentive to find it.
It therefore seems that the notion that oil companies are making outrageous profits is the result of twisted statistics. Even if profits were high that would not reveal anything scandalous or immoral. It seems that the only scandal oil profits reveal is the way they have been grossly misrepresented. The only real scandal is the great number of public figures who are willing to bend the truth to support their ideological contentions.