For two-and-a-half years, I’ve imposed myself on your editorial page
with oft-inane, always obscure commentary about the ways technology has
transformed and will transform our lives. I’ve spoken about privacy,
about copyright, about free discourse and the democratic process, and
about how to procrastinate during reading period…and it all ends here.
I used to frown upon columnists who threw themselves
narcissistic going-away parties in prose, but it turns out that the
temptation for retrospective justification is irresistible. And so as I
depart, I leave you with a pithy summary of my long project in the form
of an admonition: Don’t forget the technology. Don’t forget the
transformative influence it has right now, and never underestimate the
long-term importance of future invention and progress.
It’s easy to anesthetize ourselves to the machines that sit on
our desks. They’re small and, in most cases, unimpressive to look at.
We see dozens or hundreds like them daily, their owners clicking and
clacking away, transcribing lectures or chatting with friends when they
should be transcribing lectures. Indeed, much of our interaction with
them is plain silly—we read drunken late-night email list traffic and
poke friends of friends on the Facebook.
But, and it sounds trite to say so, computers aren’t silly.
They, and the network that connects them to one another, have
revolutionized the meaning of the term “information.” Questions that
once took days or weeks to answer now take seconds or minutes, and that
doesn’t just mean shorter waits, it means we can ask many more
questions. Scholarly research, certainly, hasn’t been the same since
computerized catalogues like HOLLIS, but wikipedia throws into the mix
something completely different altogether: a collaboratively generated
store which will someday contain a good portion of all human knowledge.
It’s not just the academy, either—nearly every sphere has been
touched. Sports managers can crunch statistics for hours on end to
figure out their lineups, politicians can better understand (and tweak)
the demographics of their electorate, and financiers have a picture of
the market which would have been considered unfathomably complex just a
few decades ago.
Technology, properly distributed, is a great equalizer as
well: it gives little guys with big ideas a chance to compete against
big guys with little ideas. It can bring the third world into the
global economy—once an Internet connection is available, voice over
Internet Protocol makes it possible for real time collaboration even if
one party is in Tijuana and the other in Tanzania, at essentially no
additional cost. Lest this devolve into feel-good boosterism, it’s
worth noting technology can be used to further less noble goals as
well—as soon as Internet pipes hit the ground, oppressive regimes put
their hands on the faucet.
The moral of this story, the reason not to forget technology,
is that it really can solve problems. Not only comparatively little
problems—computationally intense questions in theoretical physics—but
really big ones as well: A non-profit organization called “One Laptop
Per Child” started by an MIT professor aims to use today’s technology
to distribute robust $100 laptops to the world’s poor as a step towards
improved education. If we’re going to make progress on the difficult
problems we’re going to face as we leave Harvard, we’re going to do so
because the solutions we find will have been enabled by technology.
Or, if technology doesn’t provide answers yet, someday it
probably will. Many of the problems we face are long term problems.
Poverty isn’t going anywhere anytime soon. And the most interesting
feature of technology lately isn’t what it can do, it’s how fast it’s
changing.
We’re terrible at predicting what will happen—flying cars, a
perennial favorite of science fiction writers for three-quarters of a
century, are barely closer to reality now than they were when my
parents were born, and then-president of the Royal Society Lord Kelvin,
after whom the temperature scale is named, remarked back in 1897 that
“the aeroplane is scientifically impossible”—but something invariably
will. Since the Harvard class of 2006 arrived on campus four years ago,
wikipedia has grown tenfold, the Facebook appeared out of nowhere, the
number of blogs in the world has multiplied by what some estimate to be
100 times, and iPods have quadrupled in capacity (or, depending on how
you look at it, halved in price).
If a problem can’t be solved today, it will probably be solved
next year, and it’s almost impossible to imagine what will be doable in
20 years that isn’t doable now if, and it’s a big if, we let that
happen. We should be extremely skeptical of anyone who makes a proposal
which puts a damper on innovation, and there are dozens of such
proposals floating around right now.
Copyright holders are afraid of computers becoming copy
machines, phone companies are concerned that Google is using their
lines for its own profits, and even the government has worried that
encryption technology might someday endanger its ability to enforce the
law. In each case a suggestion has been made that, through rules or
fines, makes invention expensive, creating long term costs that are
impossible to foresee but potentially disastrous.
So don’t forget the technology. As we future political
leaders, entrepreneurs, doctors, lawyers, whatever venture out beyond
the Yard, we need to remember what these stupid machines we spend so
much of our lives using can actually do for us and those around us. We
need to think up ways of applying old technology to new problems, and
at every step, we should consider what we’re doing, what we’re gaining,
and what we’ve given up. “Technology” isn’t new—it’s as old as flint
for making fire—but the rate at which it’s now changing is
unparalleled. If we remember it, if we invest in it, and if we foster
its growth, it will change the world for the better.
Matthew A. Gline ’06 is a physics concentrator in Quincy House. His column appears regularly.
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The Red Carpet Syndrome